Like it or not, but with 2007 around the corner, it is almost reflections and predictions time again. With that in mind, you might find the graphs below to be a source of inspiration.

Site activity history absolute
The past growth in absolute numbers. The "January 2007"-kink is due to the fact that data for December 2006 is not yet available at this point.

Site activity history relative
The past growth in relative numbers. In 2005, the number of nodes and comments grew by more than 300%. In 2006, the number of nodes and comments grew by more than 230%.

Site activity projections
A growth projection using a polynomial fit (multiple regression). Simply put, the correlation coefficient R-square, is a measure for the quality of the fit. R-square can assume values between 0 and 1, where a value of 1 indicates a perfect fit. Bear in mind that a statistical fit may be anything but an accurate prediction of future growth.


bertboerland (not verified):

Regarding the last graph, my favorite quote reads:

"Telling the future by looking at the past assumes that conditions remain constant. This is like driving a car by looking in the rearview mirror."

Though I do think that the graph is valid for 2007.

Gerhard (not verified):

No they don't. The script used is in my $HOME on drupal2.


At this year's Drupal conference in Vancouver, I observed that with every major Drupal release, the size of the Drupal community doubles. Some people are jokingly referring to that observation as Buytaert's Second Law. I would never call it a law myself (it is obviously bound to change), but so far it seems to be holding up. ;)

Alex (not verified):

Awesome! I did notice that the Drupal "online guests" counter disappeared a while back. It was fun watching that climb this past year. I also have been following Drupal's Alexa stats and traffic chart, which mirror your findings here.

Go Drupal!

:D Alex

Rita (not verified):

Go Drupal, go.

I think the quality and stability of Drupal is the main factor for people's trust into Drupal. I hope the progressive development of Drupal's community is going to continue at the current speed.

Thank you for sharing this story with me!